So, the Labor party promises to implement a targeted government housing construction program, which includes the construction of two hundred thousand housing units; the NDI party threatens to bring 3.5 million new repatriates in the next decade; The Democratic Camp proposes an environmental-economic program worth NIS 420 billion; Blue and White wants every third Israeli to work in the high-tech sector; and Yamina is right now ready to build 113 thousand discounted apartments in Judea and Samaria and resettle half a million people there.
All this is reminiscent of science fiction, and not even scientific fiction, especially since we are talking about some sky-high sums and figures that only a fantastic mind can comprehend. However, speaking seriously, any meaningful program must have a basis in reality, and therefore, although an ambitious vision must be present and one must think big, but realistically, understanding how to cope with the high cost of living, social gaps, terrible overcrowding in roads and overcrowded hospitals.
It must be admitted that some of the proposals put forward sound good. They concern our future and are aimed at solving pressing problems. Someone, eventually, needs to address the transportation collapse, educational gaps and high housing prices.
So where does the cynicism come from? Why do the programs that politicians offer us seem unreasonable and have virtually no chance of being implemented? Is it because we are fed up with their empty promises? Are we tired of the discrepancy between the programs put forward and the ability to implement them? Or maybe we're annoyed by the fact that parties that are looking for just a few seats in the polls won't do well, whether they're in a coalition or not? And perhaps there is another reason: the party’s election platform includes countless points, but entry into the government is limited to one point. Or one person. Or one sinecure. And no one insists that all points of the program, or at least the overwhelming majority of them, be adopted.
This, in fact, happened with the Zehut party, the only party that developed a detailed economic and social program; she succumbed to the persuasion of Benjamin Netanyahu, withdrawing from the election campaign in exchange for a ministerial position and several points from the program. That is, the rest of the platform, on which many people worked, is of no use to anyone?
Now let's move on to the party “Israel is Our Home”. Do you see how Lieberman makes his participation in the government conditional on its commitment to bringing in 3.5 million new immigrants over the next ten years? Of course not. Because three months ago he torpedoed the creation of a right-wing coalition government on the grounds that Netanyahu, they say, capitulated to the religious on the issue related to the adoption of the Military Conscription Law.
Can you imagine that Kahol Lavan's main clause in the coalition agreement is that every third Israeli should work in the high-tech sector? There is nothing even close. The only thing they insist on is a government without Netanyahu.
Let's look at the numbers that politicians are juggling. Since the establishment of the state, 3.3 million new immigrants have arrived in Israel. In order for 3.5 million people to rush to the Promised Land in the next decade, only one thing must happen: some kind of terrible catastrophe that jeopardizes the fate of Jews around the world. I wonder: is this what Lieberman wants them to do?
Now about the Kahol Lavan fantasy, in which every third Israeli works in the high-tech sector. Today this figure is 8.7% of almost four million people employed in various sectors of the economy. If this percentage rises to thirty (with Israel's population rising to 11 million), that means 1.1 million high-tech jobs would need to be created within a decade. This is certainly an impressive direction, but it is worth considering that the dynamics of high-tech development have recently slowed down significantly.
There are two options to achieve this promise: increase the unemployment rate by eliminating those who do not work in the high-tech sector from the job market; and the second option is to take Lieberman’s idea as a basis, but stimulate the repatriation of exclusively high-tech specialists.
Moreover, when it turns out that over the past two years the number of people employed in high-tech industries has grown by only 28 thousand people, then Blue and White's intentions of one hundred thousand additional high-tech employees per year seem completely unreasonable.
The alliance of right-wing parties, led by Ayelet Shaked, is returning to its previous program, proposing to build 113 thousand apartments in Judea and Samaria over the next five years, relocating half a million Israelis there; The apartments are expected to cost NIS 950,000, compared to NIS 1.7 million for a similar apartment in Gush Dan. Needless to say, cheap housing and resettlement of the population are worthy goals, if only it is possible to neutralize international outrage over illegal construction in Judea and Samaria, as well as resolve the issue of the high density of the Palestinian population and its hostile attitude towards the Jewish population. The premise itself is absurd: even the construction of hundreds of apartments in Judea and Samaria is an international political saga about which every country has something to say. This is not a room or an extension.
Crowding and density are key words in programs that involve increasing investment in public transport, the number of hospital beds, social housing and much more. The “Democratic Camp” presented a platform that takes into account the above problem, proposing, in particular, to invest heavily in public transport, encourage employees to abandon the use of private cars, and introduce a traffic jam tax. As a matter of fact, this idea is based on a strategic plan prepared by the Ministries of Finance and Transport in 2012, but has not yet been implemented.
The “Democratic Camp” proposes to implement it in an accelerated twelve-year period instead of the planned quarter-century. The problem with the plan is the cost: 290 billion shekels over 12 years, and Democamp claims it will bring economic benefits of 420 billion shekels. Is such a small party capable of promoting such a plan? Is she prepared to say that they will sit in the same government as Netanyahu if he accepts their plan? The likelihood of this is negligible, because the principles of the “Democratic Camp” lie on a different plane.
In other words, what are we voters supposed to do? After all, parties spend a lot of time, effort and talent developing their platforms. Should we tell them that all their suggestions are going into the trash? That all these proposals have nothing to do with the opinions of voters? The more you think about it, the more you come to the conclusion that the numbers flaunted by party platforms don't really matter. They are meaningless. Not because the people who prepared them are not serious, but because the projects relate to that side of life that captivates, they are about plans, ideas, vision. And the reality that politicians will face after the elections is the distribution of portfolios, sinecures, coalition compromises, and most importantly, the need to cut spending and raise taxes long before they can begin to implement their programs.
Sami Peretz, TheMarker, M.K. Pictured: new returnees at Ben Gurion Airport.
Photo: Gil Cohen Magen
On improving the quality of roads in the country. Previously, this was one of the election promises of the current president. As experts note, in the two months since his inauguration, Zelensky has made many loud and scandalous statements, but a significant number of promises made even before the elections remain unfulfilled. RT's interlocutors in Ukrainian political circles blame the president for inexperience. At the same time, analysts see a cynical calculation in Zelensky’s actions.
Minister of Infrastructure of Ukraine Vladimir Omelyan called the decree of President Vladimir Zelensky on improving the quality of roads a circus. This is how the head of the department responded to the corresponding decree signed by the president on July 19.
During a meeting on road construction in the presidential administration, it was announced that it would be possible to repair 24 thousand km of main highways in three years. Zelensky himself proposed giving the “construction of priority roads” to “leading Western companies.”
According to Omelyan, to complete such work in three years for an amount of UAH 150 billion. (over 365 billion rubles) is simply impossible, since not a single Ukrainian road company, not to mention European ones, will operate at a loss.
“It’s just a circus at the state level. Not ashamed?! And what about the remaining 145 thousand km (roads - RT)? They’ll get by, wait, and we’ll see in three years?! Don’t fool anyone and don’t embarrass yourself,” the minister said.
An RT source in the Batkivshchyna party, in a conversation with RT, said that Omelyan is right, since Ukrainian roads are in a catastrophic condition.
“Maybe Zelensky doesn’t know, but even in the city center the canvas is in terrible condition. I'm not even talking about the roads where it is impossible to drive even in jeeps. To change the situation, billions of dollars are needed, which Ukraine does not have. I won’t reveal the secret, but Ukraine uses the infrastructure that it inherited from the times of the USSR,” the interlocutor noted.
According to him, the situation is unlikely to change dramatically in the next five years.
“If Zelensky receives $1.5 billion, then it is quite possible to improve the quality of roads, but he will not find them, which means it is unrealistic,” the expert said. “These were election technologies, and a significant part of what he promised will not be fulfilled.”
Previously, Zelensky promised to send the leadership of the State Agency of Highways of Ukraine to jail and proposed spending money received as a loan from Germany on the construction of highways. Rebuilding roads was one of his campaign promises.
Hard PR
As experts note, the decree on improving the quality of roads is one of the typical examples of the work of the administration of the new President of Ukraine. In the two months that have passed since his inauguration as head of the Ukrainian state, Zelensky has made many rash steps and loud statements.
Thus, on July 10, Zelensky said that the exclusion zone around the Chernobyl nuclear power plant would become “one of the growth points of the new Ukraine” and signed a corresponding decree.
Two days later, he submitted to the Rada a draft law on lustration of all officials who held positions under the previous leadership of the country.
On July 16, the head of state made a proposal to develop a plan for holding the Olympic Games in Ukraine. Then Zelensky, driving a Tesla electric car worth about $100 thousand, promised to reduce utility prices, and for citizens over 70 years old - to abolish all tariffs altogether.
On July 19, the Supreme Commander-in-Chief inspected “experimental modules” for comfortable accommodation of Ukrainian military personnel in the conflict zone in Donbass: with showers, toilets and air conditioning.
At the same time, like his predecessor Petro Poroshenko, Zelensky showed in every possible way that he is on friendly terms with foreign leaders and foreigners in general. The President talked a lot about investment from abroad and even recorded an English-language video calling for investment in Ukraine. The head of state visited France, Germany and Canada, held the Ukraine-EU forum and a number of meetings with foreign investors. Zelensky also promised to meet with Donald Trump to resolve the issue of building the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline.
The signature style of the head of the Ukrainian state has become toughness in dealing with officials. Thus, the scolding that Zelensky gave to the secretary of the Boryspil City Council, Yaroslav Godunk, caused a wide resonance. On July 10, during a working meeting, the president called the official a robber and kicked him out the door, and later promised to call the deputy head of the SBU Ivan Bakanov so that he would “deal with this devil.” At the same meeting, Zelensky got into a skirmish with the mayor of Boryspil Anatoly Fedorchuk over a “meter of feces” at the bottom of a local lake.
In some cases, Zelensky himself took a step back. Thus, immediately after the elections, his team named laws on democracy (referendums and recall of officials) and presidential impeachment among the priority bills. The impeachment law passed the Rada, which is unfriendly to the head of state, but Zelensky did not sign it. The law on democracy was not at all on the list of bills introduced by the Ukrainian leader.
During the election campaign, when the scandalous law on the functioning of the Ukrainian language as the state language was discussed in the Rada, Zelensky suggested “not putting pressure” on the Russian language. On July 16, this law came into force. While serving as president, he no longer expressed any objections.
Earlier, the head of the Ukrainian state said that the return of sailors arrested by Russia during the provocation in the Kerch Strait would be his priority mission and he was ready for negotiations with Russian President Vladimir Putin. Nevertheless, Zelensky called his Russian colleague only once - on July 11.
Even during the election campaign, the Ukrainian leader promised to ride a bicycle to work, almost like President Vasily Goloborodko, the character he played in the TV series Servant of the People. However, having become the real president of the country from a movie, Zelensky began to travel in the presidential motorcade.
Establishing peace in Donbass was one of the cornerstones of Zelensky's presidential campaign. Then he declared the need to “just stop shooting.” But under President Zelensky, shelling in the Donbass continued. Moreover, in June he demanded that the Ukrainian Armed Forces “respond harshly” to the actions of the militias.
“The President has not fulfilled his promises because he has no power, he is a king without a kingdom. He will not fulfill any promises, at least until the end of the year,” the expert concluded.
Vladimir Zelensky came to victory with 73% of the vote. He promised to return Ukrainian sailors detained in Russia and stop the fire in Donbass. But will a former actor without political experience be able to do what his predecessor Petro Poroshenko failed to do?
On the contrary
He was criticized for the lack of a political background, a clear program, and much more. But Zelensky won, proving that the country even agrees to a comedian, but not to Poroshenko.
Zelensky's victory is unique. This is the youngest president in the history of Ukraine - he is 41 years old. He received the best result among all presidents in the second round elections - more than 73%. The West has already expressed support: Zelensky was congratulated on his victory by Macron, Trump called, and Theresa May said that she was “looking forward to working closely together.”
Poland was not left out, and Juncker and Tusk assured that the new president “can count on strong EU support on Ukraine’s path to reform.” They also suggested holding a meeting.
Photo source: elections.dekoder.org Will the Nazis be asked to leave?
Zelensky is expected to solve the problem of Nazism in Ukraine, Financial Times correspondent Max Seddon is sure.
“Zelensky has a chance to deal with the problem of neo-Nazism in Ukraine, which is sometimes supported by the West. The speaker of parliament founded a neo-Nazi party, the head of the Ministry of Internal Affairs made it part of the army. Now the ball is in Zelensky’s court,” he writes on Twitter.
The journalist suggests that it’s all about Zelensky’s Jewish roots. This could play a role in solving a problem that Ukraine itself does not recognize. British political scientist Marcus Papadopoulos agrees with this. True, in a conversation with “360” he expressed doubt that the new president of Ukraine will be able to liquidate the battalions.
In recent years, neo-Nazis and fascists have come to power in Kyiv. This causes great harm to the reputation of Ukraine. What could be better than putting a pro-American Ukrainian Jew in power?
Marcus Papadopoulos political scientist.
Political science professor Daniel Warner doesn't believe Zelensky will be able to completely get rid of radical groups. “They exist in all countries and at all times. It is impossible to completely get rid of them, but as the elections show, the majority chose Zelensky, which means that everyone who is dissatisfied will have to accept this,” Warner said.
What will happen to the sailors
Zelensky stated that his main task at the moment is to return Ukrainian sailors from Russia to their homeland. They were detained in November while trying to illegally cross the border in the Kerch Strait. There were 24 Ukrainians on board, including two SBU officers. They were charged with “illegal border crossing, committed by a group of persons by prior conspiracy or by an organized group, or with the use of violence or the threat of its use.”
“Zelensky will be able to return the sailors, but Russia will not give them up so easily. He will have to fulfill some demands of the Russian side,” explained Daniel Warner. “The question is what he’s willing to do to get it.”
If he brings the sailors back, he will receive the approval of the Ukrainian people, which means he will be able to resolve the situation in Donbass
Daniel WarnerDoctor of Political Sciences.
The professor is confident that Zelensky will eventually return the sailors. If the parties do not agree, then the comedian will have to turn to Washington for help and the State Department will join the process.
Ukrainian sailors in the Lefortovo Court in Moscow. Photo source: RIA Novosti But will Zelensky be able to enter into negotiations with a country that the previous government labeled as an aggressor? After all, the new president of Ukraine has been accused more than once of collaborating with the Kremlin. It was on this assertion that Poroshenko built his campaign.
Zelensky’s position is not to be envied. He will have to contact Moscow in any case, but opponents will use every attempt to reach an agreement against the Ukrainian leader. However, according to Warner, the future president has a chance to soften attacks in his direction thanks to everyone’s support.
Donbass will be “frozen”
Another promise - ending the war in Donbass - also cannot be fulfilled without interaction with Russia. The elected president himself has already announced the continuation of work in the format of the Minsk agreements.
According to Warner, both the West and Russia are interested in resolving the situation in Donbass. Everyone will try to contribute. But it is unlikely that we will have to talk about the complete return of the southeast under the control of Kyiv in the near future. The interlocutor of “360” said that the conflict will most likely be “frozen.”
They will strive for a situation similar to Nagorno-Karabakh. There is a conflict, but as long as no one shoots, it is acceptable for all parties
Daniel WarnerProfessor of Political Science.
On the other hand, it will not be possible to do without US intervention in any case. The interlocutor of “360” is sure that to resolve the Donbass problem, Zelensky also needs to visit the White House. “If he goes to Moscow, then he goes to Washington. The question is, where will he go first? It would be more profitable to go to Washington,” says Warner.
Photo source: RIA Novosti “Zelensky has what we call a window of opportunity, and good intentions not to become the next Poroshenko,” the expert said. - He has a couple of weeks during which he can try something. We call this period the political honeymoon.”
British political scientist Marcus Papadopoulos, in turn, is convinced that Vladimir Zelensky will not fulfill his promises. Resolving the conflict is not beneficial for him, as is the case for other parties.
He needs Western support. He will not remove heavy Ukrainian artillery from Donbass. Zelensky needs to create the feeling that Russia is present in eastern Ukraine. He will continue to demonize Moscow
Marcus Papadopoulos political scientist.
Thus, Ukraine will be given more money, the number of British military personnel will increase, there will be more American ships and NATO, the political scientist suggests. Zelensky will try to squeeze as much as possible out of the conflict with Donbass - just as his predecessor did.
What will happen to Poroshenko?
Zelensky will soon take over as president, but what will happen to his predecessor? Does he face prison, an active political future, or peace? According to Warner, Poroshenko will not end up in prison. The interlocutor of “360” is sure that the former president of Ukraine will simply be allowed to disappear.
Most likely he will have a house in Geneva or somewhere else. People close to him will also most likely simply disappear. There is no point in arresting them
Daniel WarnerProfessor of Political Science.
And Marcus Papadopoulos believes that Poroshenko will remain an oligarch, the owner of a chocolate factory. “The Americans and Europeans will repay him for his service. You won't see him anywhere much. By the end of the year they will forget about him,” 360’s interlocutor expressed hope.
Poroshenko himself promised not to leave the political horizon and to continue the fight for Ukraine.
Should we expect improvements in relations between Kyiv and Moscow?
Papadopoulos is confident that relations between Russia and Ukraine will not change much. An increase in NATO presence in Ukraine and the Black Sea will be inevitable. This is due to the fact that Zelensky supports Ukraine’s accession to the EU and NATO.
Political scientist Warner points out that the future president almost never mentions Crimea.
“Two important things: no one knows what Zelensky will do, and he himself does not know what he will do. The only thing I know is that he doesn’t talk about Crimea,” the expert continues.
Daniel WarnerProfessor of Political Science.
"Breath of fresh air"
The world media could not ignore the figure of the new president of Ukraine. According to Politico journalists, Zelensky’s victory is the result of the failed activities of the previous president. The country was hungry for a new face, and that was the showman.
The German channel ZDF also agreed with this version, which in its material cited the words of voters upset by Poroshenko’s work. “If the comedian fails, it will be easier to remove him than Poroshenko, who controls more than half of the parliament,” the publication quotes the words of a Ukrainian resident.
Journalists from Agency France-Press dubbed Zelensky a “breath of fresh air” who came to Ukrainian politics. French correspondents also decided that the showman “benefited from Ukrainian dissatisfaction with the elite” and from the disappointment that the Maidan led to. They also noted Zelensky’s reliability as the head of the family - he has a wife and two children.
And the Turkish edition “
- Election promises are a speech stamp assigned to the designation of election statements of candidates or party representatives, slogans and program points voiced during the campaign, containing certain promises to improve the living conditions of voters and on a wide range of issues that are most relevant for a given territory and the target electorate of a given candidate.
In the post-Soviet space, the expression “election promises” is more often used in a negative context, due to their failure to fulfill them. Periodically, calls are made and specific legislative initiatives are proposed, even providing for the introduction of liability for failure to fulfill election promises, as well as attempts to attract political figures according to the norms of currently existing legislation.
The very concept of an “election promise” remains extremely vague, and the provisions of the election program and statements it denotes relate more only to means of election campaigning, and not to legally significant norms denoting a full-fledged civil transaction, namely the exchange of a voter’s vote for the candidate’s obligation to fulfill sufficient specific actions (to achieve a specific result or prevent certain consequences).
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The administration of President Zelensky had to apologize for the fact that his reduction of utility tariffs was called simply a joke. But besides words, the actions of the new Ukrainian government are increasingly reminiscent of the previous one.
Zelensky is clearly trying to win over the President of the European Bank. The meeting is without ties, but a billion euros are at stake, that is, twice as much, the EBRD still plans to allocate to Ukraine this year.
Zelensky held a similar meeting with representatives of the International Monetary Fund and also assured that all agreements would be maintained. Including those that lead to an increase in tariffs for heating, electricity and water. Before the elections, Zelensky was very worried about this.
They believed Zelensky, because every third Ukrainian is not able to pay for utilities - this is no joke. But the candidate, as it now turns out, was not serious about draconian tariffs.
“Zelensky joked about the tariffs, that they were high. But he did not make direct promises. Of course, people, somewhere in half-hints, want to see what they want to see,” said Andriy Gerus, the representative of the Ukrainian president in the cabinet of ministers.
It is on reducing gas tariffs - and this is the basis of all utility payments - that Ukrainian politicians Viktor Medvedchuk and Yuriy Boyko are trying to agree on. The previous administration didn’t like it, and the current one doesn’t like it either.
“We were surprised that the Prosecutor General did not react in any way to the fact that Boyko and Medvedchuk had already traveled twice to the aggressor country and met with its leaders,” said Yulia Mendel, press secretary of the President of Ukraine.
At the St. Petersburg Economic Forum, Gazprom confirmed that it can supply gas to Ukraine at a quarter cheaper, but Kyiv persistently ignores the proposals.
“Zelensky is gradually turning into a little Poroshenko. The same thing, word for word. Because people went to the Economic Forum and discussed the issue of lowering tariffs for Ukrainians, the new government, already of Zelensky, is bringing the same case as it was under Poroshenko,” - noted Vadim Rabinovich, People's Deputy of Ukraine, founder of the Opposition Platform - for Life party.
“A message from the SBU appears: we have opened a case regarding the trip of Boyko and Medvedchuk, we are investigating everything. What is the matter? What investigations? What crime have we committed? We want people to reduce the cost of gas by 25%. Our people,” Viktor Medvedchuk is outraged.
Zelensky’s team is now focused on early elections to the Verkhovna Rada - it is very important not to lose popularity before the vote scheduled for July 21. But on July 1, Ukrainians will face another increase in utility tariffs.